UK Summer Weather Forecast 2019 – Predictions

It is that time again, everyone is asking what this summer will bring. Us British are obsessed with the weather and most, not all, like to see a warm and settled summer. What does this summer have in store? Below I have my annual predictions, last years forecast couldn’t have gone any better, although I feel this years is a lot trickier looking at the signals.   My long range forecasts summarise each month by looking at temperature, pressure and precipitation anomalies, you’ll find for each month expected precipitation and temperature, for example above average, average or below average. Above average in temperature signals warmer and at times hot weather and the same applies for precipitation. Above average precipitation means it …

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Signs of a warm up next week – Latest

It has been very miserable of late with low pressure in charge. The good news is that next week the weather starts to settle down and temperatures will start to rise. Nothing significant in terms of high temperatures are expected at the moment but a warm up is on the cards.   Whilst many areas see temperatures respond next week it is the most unlikely areas that will see the highest temperatures next week! Take a look at the maximum video animation below which covers maximum temperatures for the next 10 days. You can find the time at the top right of the video.       Lewis

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Low pressure dominating next week

  Low pressure is expected to dominate our weather next week as the Jetstream fires up, again! We’ll see spells of wet and at times windy weather across much of the United Kingdom throughout next week.   There is perhaps a glimmer of hope that as we head towards next weekend things may just settle down with a ridge of high pressure trying to develop from the south bringing slightly warmer conditions, however it is only a glimmer at the moment. Please find a video animation of sea level pressure and precipitation (rainfall) for next week using our high resolution model data further down this post.   I’m trying very hard to bring a full service back to the general …

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Rain, severe gales, snow showers and disruptive snow?

We’ve some very active weather to contend with during the next 24 hours or so as the jetstream ramps up and a deepening area of low pressure rattles in from the Atlantic. The strength of the winds will be the initial concern, especially across western areas at first and then as the low pulls away to the ESE tomorrow we see the risk of some severe gales across north sea coasts of northeast England, Yorkshire, Lincolnshire and East Anglia. Gusts along coastal areas may reach in excess of 60mph for a time with 50mph+ inland.   Gusts will range from 50-60mph widely across western areas during the early hours of Sunday morning, potentially higher locally and in exposed locations. Below …

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Christmas Forecast 2018

Are you dreaming of a white Christmas 2018?   From now until the big day we will be posting a daily update from our long range forecast model. We use the CFSV2 model which is a medium to longer range forecast model. As we nearer Christmas day we’ll start using our shorter range forecasting models and of course have more of an idea with regards to what weather we’ll see this Christmas. You can find the latest update below.   Update #1 – 7th December 2018     Based on the current CFSv2 model output Christmas day 2018 is expected to be a mixed bag. Low pressure is expected to be the dominating feature of our weather as we head …

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Remaining unsettled and cold with wintry weather for some

We continue with the cold theme for many areas over the next 48 hours or so. The wintry weather will become increasingly confined to northern hills through Saturday night and into Sunday. We stay with the cool east to northeasterly flow which will bring further snow showers, even into Monday across the higher ground in the north, however to lower ground precipitation will be falling as rain, hail and at times sleet.   The showers will be heaviest and most frequent across eastern coastal counties of England and Scotland (north sea facing coasts) and we maintain the risk of one or two of these showers being thundery in nature. Whilst many central and western areas remain cold and dry, however …

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Big low set to bring severe gales and heavy rain for some

An area of low pressure is expected to track close to the United Kingdom late Thursday and will head NNE during Friday morning. Whilst strong winds are associated with this area of low pressure, thankfully many areas will escape the strong winds, however many areas will be blustery during Friday. The low tracks NNE late Thursday night bringing severe gale force winds across much of Ireland and Northern Ireland, especially west and southwest coasts. Strong winds (gale force) will also affect the southwest of England and Irish sea coasts in general. Through Friday the strongest winds then extend northwards into parts of W, SW and NW Scotland including the Western Isles of Scotland. The image below shows expected wind gusts …

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Nationwide HEATWAVE next week? Or just turning very warm and locally hot?

Another day and yet more heatwave articles doing the rounds on Facebook, my newsfeed is full of them! Well you’ll be glad to know that the weather is improving significantly and by next week much of the UK is likely to be basking in glorious sunshine with the mercury rising, locally hot conditions may develop, particularly across central and southern areas.   What most of these click bait weather pages fail to forget (because lets be honest they’re not interested in factual weather information they’re just bothered about the £ sign rather than giving the UK public honest and reliable weather information) is that for each county of England there are temperature thresholds for true heatwave conditions and whilst next week …

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Storm Hector moves in overnight

Storm Hector moves in overnight and he’s expected to bring some unseasonably disruptive weather across northern parts of the United Kingdom.     A frontal system associated with the area of low pressure is currently affecting western and northern parts of the United Kingdom and will continue to push eastwards overnight.   The heaviest and most persistent rainfall will be west of the Pennines and across West & northwest Scotland. Precipitation (rain) will be patchier in nature on the southern extent of the frontal system.   Showers, heavy at times will also rattle in behind the frontal system to affect Northern Ireland, Scotland, northern and northwestern parts of England and western coasts in general during tomorrow.   The main emphasis …

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